Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.165978 2.489385 2.848132 3.276201 3.773904 4.335290 5.017880
2025-05-11 1.658641 2.084196 2.603126 3.285222 4.162269 5.257522 6.737472
2025-05-18 1.384719 1.846691 2.446952 3.289465 4.450195 6.005659 8.269114
2025-05-25 1.164741 1.628552 2.262509 3.200560 4.567307 6.507568 9.509007
2025-06-01 1.041437 1.517472 2.197626 3.251973 4.866367 7.279340 11.223379
2025-06-08 0.949303 1.434958 2.156866 3.323714 5.192367 8.119300 13.150984
2025-06-15 0.859068 1.341751 2.085066 3.332509 5.412877 8.813067 14.934389
2025-06-22 0.766817 1.233198 1.974522 3.261419 5.487745 9.270015 16.372816
2025-06-29 0.694276 1.147350 1.889127 3.218299 5.598557 9.793098 17.993032
2025-07-06 0.627689 1.063661 1.797191 3.150819 5.654103 10.219109 19.486963
2025-07-13 0.607775 1.057077 1.834801 3.314747 6.145505 11.497248 22.805912
2025-07-20 0.564951 1.005442 1.787309 3.316297 6.330174 12.215180 25.106968
2025-07-27 0.533933 0.977015 1.787786 3.426827 6.778590 13.588054 29.183389
2025-08-03 0.491092 0.923020 1.736968 3.436333 7.038261 14.645834 32.850005
2025-08-10 0.453192 0.873521 1.687878 3.440783 7.285009 15.711369 36.742802
2025-08-17 0.409519 0.807474 1.598038 3.347496 7.305117 16.279638 39.564730
2025-08-24 0.385490 0.778113 1.578539 3.401441 7.660741 17.668663 44.716044
2025-08-31 0.365745 0.755233 1.569515 3.476722 8.076522 19.269218 50.765163
2025-09-07 0.342253 0.721724 1.533768 3.485952 8.335500 20.528876 56.170673
2025-09-14 0.314532 0.676025 1.466158 3.411354 8.376074 21.240468 60.187665
2025-09-21 0.291772 0.638925 1.413656 3.366108 8.484386 22.148563 64.990623
2025-09-28 0.269448 0.600506 1.353955 3.295306 8.515332 22.853267 69.339652
2025-10-05 0.264790 0.602363 1.388469 3.467313 9.226647 25.586883 80.784047